Rystad Energy - Energy Knowledge House
Rystad Energy - Energy Knowledge House

Oil Trading Analysis Solution

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Integrated oil fundamentals analysis for profitable trading signals

We Provide

We provide new tailored our new tailored offering bringing high frequency short-term data coverage of the market by integrating the Oil Supply, Oil Demand, real-time Oil Demand with Downstream and Refining analysis in one consistent solution. Built by industry leading experts and analysts our new service leverages the best practices on research, modeling and analysis across the entire energy spectrum.

We Deliver

We deliver one consistent and complete solution designed specifically for the needs of oil trading analysts and oil traders, enabling them to perform their own analysis with ease and speed

We Collaborate

We collaborate with our customers to provide detailed insights on their key markets. We have a deep understanding of the oil market and can, in a timely manner, analyze a client’s situation and provide bespoke, actionable insights. We collaborate with best-in-class partners. Our Refinery Margin modeling work is performed using the best in industry LP modeling technology from AspenTech. The Aspen Unified PIMS provides a flow sheet based modeling with all process sub models and related data.

Data

Integrated oil fundamentals analysis for profitable trading signals

Features included

  • Oil supply: crudes, condensates, NGLs, and other liquids global production data with projections to 2025. Multiple scenarios driven by prices, extensive data splits in term of production type, quality, grade, geography, life cycle, economics, supply outage tracking

  • Oil demand: real-time demand data year to date along with underlying mobility indexes. Sector and product grade wise demand projections to 2025. Demand models for vehicles, trucks, aviation,
    maritime, power, agriculture, non-energy use, energy own use, petrochemical, buildings

  • Refinery capacities and outages: refinery capacity profiles, monthly to 2025 with data on new additions, closure, changes. Refinery outage profiles based on outages tracking, outage projections at country level for one year rolling. Analysis of capacity and outage changes vs satellite monitoring, other S&D data

  • Refinery runs: refinery runs historical and
    projections for 1 year rolling basis for all countries, capacity driven and demand driven scenarios along with base case outlook, sub country splits, analysis of runs vs other S&D data to derive signals & signposts

  • Refinery margins for Asian configurations (12). Spot and forward for 60-120 crude grades. Crude product worth analysis for price evaluation, Saudi OSP
    projections, country deep dives, US and EU margins (emerging research)

  • Crude yields, qualities, trade flows: crude yields and
    properties data for all production grades generated on a consistent basis. Trade flows based on vessel tracking and projections of exports/imports based on production-runs data, grade wise

  • Product yields: qualities, trade flows for major configurations, product specifications and trade flows, analysis of product optimization changes in refineries

  • Balances: global liquids and crude balances, country level crude balances and product balances (emerging research)

Enables you to

  • Understand the changing dynamics in oil supply & demand, refining and marketing value chain around the world
  • Build both opposing and supporting views for your trading teams with scenarios and probabilistic approach
  • Deduct clear signals & signposts on the global refinery market, based on unsolved imbalances and bring the ‘so what’ needed to your trading team
  • Track daily impacts of COVID-19 policy and mobility restrictions on oil demand at city and country level
  • Assess the impact of other market shocks (earthquakes, conflicts, hurricanes) on oil supply & demand
  • Compare your own forecast with the best possible synthesis of fundamentals data publicly available
  • Construct trading ideas and allocate exposure along the futures curve
  • Build models and translate those models into a comprehensive and understandable report

Have an overview look at:
Oil Trading Analysis Solution

Analytics

Features included

In-depth analysis on ‘so what’ for markets provided through Trade Alerts, Commentaries and Reports

Reports:
• Real-time Demand Signals Weekly
• Oil Demand Signals Monthly
• Oil Market Balances Monthly
• Weather Impact Signals Weekly
• Global Refinery Runs Signals Monthly
• Refinery Capacities and Outages Signals Monthly
• Refinery Margins Signals Weekly
• Crude Trading Signals Bi-Weekly
• Crude OSP Signals Monthly

Trading Alerts: frequent emails of quick-fire reactions to breaking news and market-moving events

Commentaries on key trends and events affecting the market and covering specifically:
• Supply, Demand and Balances
• Crudes, Products, Refining

Enables you to

Understand the changing dynamics in oil supply & demand, refining and marketing value chain around the world

Assess the impact of other market shocks (earthquakes, conflicts, hurricanes) on oil supply & demand

Develop trading strategies based on market drivers monitoring, fundamental research and analytics that leads to actionable trading activity

Have an overview look at:
Oil Trading Analytics

Advisory

  • Some specific research areas we covered in consulting projects:

    • Refining conversion capacity and configurations analysis
    • Gulf Coast complex refinery models complete with refining unit parameters, product pricing product specifications, and a library of crude assays
    • Our Refinery Margin modeling work is performed using the best in industry LP modeling technology from AspenTech. The Aspen Unified PIMS provides a flow sheet based modeling with all process sub models and related data.
  • Understanding market risk is also a key competency. We support clients in building tools that allow them to take appropriate actions to reduce their short-term or medium-term market risk. 
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