April 2016 UPDATE

UPCOMING EVENTS

Is this the new normal? – Reviewing oil markets and consequences for offshore shipping
Lars Eirik Nicolaisen, Partner
Offshore Vessel Connect Mexico
June 27, 2016
Mexico City, Mexico

Will we see a three digit oil price again? And will offshore still be competitive versus shale?
Audun Martinsen, VP Analysis
Noia Conference 2016
June 21, 2016
St. John's, Canada

Når vil vi se 3 sifret oljepris igjen? - macro perspektiver
Jarand Rystad, CEO
Norsk Offshoredag 2016
May 25, 2016
Oslo, Norway

Timing the Recovery of Offshore Sub-Sectors
Jarand Rystad, CEO
Norway ship & offshore finance forum
May 25, 2016
Oslo, Norway

Recent development of the exploration performance on the NCS
Nils-Henrik Bjurstrøm, Senior Project Manager
NCS Exploration - Recent Discoveries 2016
May 11, 2016
Fornebu, Norway

A bold look into the future of the NSC
Jarand Rystad, CEO
NCS Exploration - Recent Discoveries 2016
May 11, 2016
Fornebu, Norway

Panel discussion on the US oil market
Per Magnus Nysveen, Senior Partner & Head of Analysis
9th annual Global Crude Oil Summit
May 10, 2016
London, United Kingdom

Rystad Energy at OTC Exhibition (Booth #5053) 
May 2-5, 2016
Houston, United States

For more information,
contact Julia Weiss

Rystad Energy Information Session
May 2, 2016
Houston, United States

For more information,
contact Julia Weiss

 

More events
 


The Exploration Strategy Conference, organized jointly by Rystad Energy and GeoPublishing, brings together the exploration focused North Sea community to exchange expert insight, network with fellow peers and develop discussions and solutions on current industry issues. 

Date: November 1-2, 2016
Location: Stavanger, Norway 

Program

For more information,
contact Julia Weiss

 


LAST BUT NOT LEAST

Follow us on social media platforms:

  

Company Newsletter Subscription: If you are not yet a subscriber to this email, please fill out the subscription form

 

INDUSTRY VIEW

"North American liquids production likely to decrease this year"
Rystad Enery’s latest research shows that 2016 will be the first year in which we see a decline in liquids production from the North American shale oil and tight liquids plays. Some key plays will face a net decrease in the liquids production year-over-year. 2016's production from Eagle Ford and Bakken is estimated to drop by 12% and 9%, respectively, compared with 2015’s level. From 2010 to 2015, the top four shale liquids plays grew on average by 860 kboe/d, with the highest growth coming from the Eagle Ford Shale.

"Canada Shale - Explaining the challenges in the low commodity environment" by Sona Mlada, Senior Analyst
(Published by Oil & Gas Financial Journal, April Edition)
Canada is the fifth largest producer of hydrocarbons in the world (after the United States, Russia, Saudi Arabia and Iran); 2016 average annual production is expected to be over 7 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (oil & gas combined). Almost 60% of this production is represented by light oil. In fact, Canada is the fourth largest light oil resource holder (after Russia, Saudi Arabia and the U.S.), with over 130 billion barrels of remaining economical resources, almost 80% of which are represented by the oil sands. 

"GE likely to become the third largest oilfield service provider" 
According to Rystad Energy’s latest estimate, GE may become the third largest oilfield service provider in 2016, if the company buys the planned divestments by Halliburton and Baker Hughes. In addition, GE is more sheltered amid the downturn in oil prices due to exposure to equipment and more resilient product lines. Overall, GE’s upstream revenue is expected to gain by 6% this year from 2014’s level, while all other is losing market share.

"Operators in Montney play realize better well results" 
With improved completion techniques, operators in Montney play have managed to realize better well results every year. The figure below depicts the average well curve for the Montney play for different spud years. The results differ per operator and for specific acreage positions. At the same time, the refracking of old wells has become a more commonly used technique in the Montney play, with over 35 wells refracked in 2015, more than double compared to 2014.

"Iraqi crude output continues to grow, but at a slower pace from 2017" 
Rystad Energy analysis shows that Iraqi crude oil production for 2015 was approximately 3.9 million per barrel, up by 12% from 2014. The 2016 production level is expected to exhibit similar growth as in 2015. From 2017, the growth rate will slow down to an average year-on-year increase of 4%, predominantly as the first phase of the redevelopment of mature oil fields has now been completed.

"Western Europe: E&P update" by Espen Erlingsen, VP Anaysis
(Published by GEOExPro)
Oil and gas production in Western Europe* was in decline from 2000 to 2014. During this period, liquid production decreased from 6.7 million bbl/d to 3.4 million bbl/d and gas dropped from 266 Billion m3 to 230 Billion m3. In 2015 liquid production increased by 200 kbbl/d, the largest since 1996. The change in liquid production is due to a combination of new project developments (Gudrun and Golden Eagle), redevelopment of old producing fields (Valhall and Ekofisk) and less down time during the summer of 2015. 

"Are Mexico's 2015 discoveries enough to impede production decline?" by Olga Kerimova, Senior Analyst, and Theodora Batoudaki, Analyst
(Published by PESGB Newsletter, April Edition)
Mexico’s production is in a decline phase. Great exploration success is the highlight of 2015 for Mexico E&P. This article discusses the impact of discoveries, with a special focus on the 2015 discoveries, and the Round One tender on Mexico’s production and spending outlook


 

Rystad Energy will be present at OTC.

Stop by exhibit #5053 to meet with our Rystad Energy experts or contact us for one-on-one meetings

Oilfield Service Specialists
Lars Eirik Nicolaisen, Partner, lars.eirik.nicolaisen@rystadenergy.com
Oddmund Føre, Analyst, oddmund@rystadenergy.com 

Shale Specialists
Sona Mlada, Senior Analyst, sona.mlada@rystadenergy.com
Maierdan Halifu, Analyst, maierdan.halifu@rystadenergy.com 

Business Development
Andrew Conacher, SVP Business Development, aconacher@rystadenergy.com
Amir Zaman, Business Development Manager, amir.zaman@rystadenergy.com 
Schreiner Parker, Business Development Manager, schreiner.parker@rystadenergy.com

Client Specialist
Courtney Sims, Client Analyst, courtney.sims@rystadenergy.com

Media and events
Julia Weiss, VP Marketing, julia.weiss@rystadenergy.com

…………………………

Rystad Energy is delighted to invite you to a lunch meeting of presentations and discussions on latest industry developments.

Topics:

Global oil supply and demand fundamentals update
Presenter: Lars Eirik Nicolaisen, Partner

Better times ahead for the global offshore oilfield service market
Presenter: Oddmund Føre, Analyst

North American Shale - is the future still bright?
Presenter: Sona Mlada, Senior Analyst

Date: Monday, May 2, 2016
Time: 11.00am - 1.00pm (Registration starts at 10.30am)
Location: Hotel Derek, 2525 West Loop South, Houston, TX 77027

The event is free of charge.

 

Sign up