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22 April 2026

The Hormuz crisis and the real cost of a barrel of oil, with Paola Rodriguez-Masiu

Let’s Talk Energy and dive into the details of the stressed physical oil market. According to the news, Brent oil is trading around $95 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate or WTI is around $88.

Episode description

Let’s Talk Energy and dive into the details of the stressed physical oil market. According to the news, Brent oil is trading around $95 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate or WTI is around $88. But refiners will tell you that finding a barrel that can be delivered today at those prices is difficult, and they may need to pay as much as $15 or $20 more, challenging the economics of making gasoline, diesel and jet fuel. That difference between the financial – or paper markets – and the market for physical barrels has big implications for fuel supplies and how we think about the potential impacts of the war on the global economy.

  • How much does it really cost to buy a barrel of oil, and how has the gap between futures and physical markets trended since the start of the war?

  • What does this mean for the refining sector and the prices consumers will pay to fill up their tank or buy a plane ticket?

  • What options do governments have left to try to limit the economic damage from the energy crisis?

Featured in this episode

Noah Brenner

Vice President, Analytics

Rystad Energy

Paola Rodriguez-Masiu

Chief Oil Analyst, Analysis

Rystad Energy

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