Trump and Energy

Navigating the future of US energy policies and their impact on the global energy landscape.

Our work

Rystad Energy has been tracking the potential impacts of policies enacted by the current US administration. This report is a synthesis of the work conducted every day by hundreds of Rystad Energy analysts, consultants and local experts. In parallel, the Advisory team has been partnering with dozens of energy market participants, including small and major energy companies and their suppliers, as well as regulators and non-governmental organizations. Our experts are perfectly positioned to 'put the pieces together' for those navigating the current and future energy sector. This report constitutes only a small portion of the body of work that Rystad Energy does every day involving these topics.

'Trump and Energy' special report series

Since the publication of the second edition in April, the Trump administration's second-term tariff strategy has shifted decisively from announcements to implementation. Through 12 August, a blend of tariff expansions, licensing carve-outs and temporary truces has underpinned the approach grounded in national security, industrial revival and fiscal opportunity via customs revenue.

The third edition focuses on:

  • Impacts of sectoral tariffs on steel, aluminum, automobiles, and copper (NEW) 
  • Trade deals and tariffs, including a focus on additional tariffs announced on India and Brazil
  • Leasing and royalty rate adjustments under the OBBBA and their impact on short-term outlooks
  • Changes to tax credits for clean-energy sources, renewables, EVs, and hydrogen

Access the full series, a condensed version of the full report available on the Rystad Energy Client Portal, and subscribe to receive future editions straight to your inbox.

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Previous versions

Explore our previous report series.

Trump and Energy | April, 2025

This edition of 'Trump and Energy' focuses on tariff uncertainties and countries' reactions. Get your copy now.

Trump and Energy | February, 2025

President Trump’s focus on domestic energy and deregulation has reshaped global markets. Download the 'Trump and Energy' report for key insights.

New Let's Talk Energy episode out now

Can President Trump unleash American energy without raising domestic prices? In this week’s Let’s Talk Energy, Noah Brener sat down with Mike McCormick, Partner in Rystad Energy’s Advisory practice, to explore the ripple effects of Trump’s policies across oil, gas, solar, and offshore wind.

Related insights

News and articles that explore key topics surrounding US energy policies, trade impacts and global market dynamics.

Rystad's Take: In conversation with our CEO, August

Trade uncertainty is easing somewhat as the US and the EU have reached a deal, but energy markets still face softer demand and rising supply chain inflation. At the same time, data centers are reshaping electricity demand, including in Norway, where a new venture could add about 3.6 TWh of demand in the far north.

Top geopolitical risks for energy markets in 2025

After months of relentless shocks, the tempo of new crises has slowed, but few have been resolved. Armed conflicts remain unresolved and political rivalries persist, but the immediate risk of major new disruptions has receded — at least for now.

Energy Without Escalation: Gulf NOCs and rewriting the playbook amid regional tensions

As tensions remain highly strained between Israel and Iran, and with the United States now directly involved following the recent coordinated strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, the Persian Gulf’s national oil companies (NOCs) are navigating a region once again on edge. Whereas oil markets react to immediate risks, Saudi Aramco, ADNOC and QatarEnergy offer a counterbalance: steady, calculated resilience.

Rystad’s Take: In conversation with our CEO

Our monthly Q&A series, August edition