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From policy to markets: How clean power is redefining energy investment

The global energy system is entering a pivotal new phase. Rystad Energy’s latest scenario analysis indicates that all net growth in global electricity supply in 2025, approximately 1,070 terawatt-hours, will originate from low-carbon sources, marking a significant shift in the evolution of power markets. As renewables move from the margins to the driver’s seat, energy investment is becoming increasingly market-driven rather than policy-led, reshaping opportunities across power, infrastructure, technology, and traditional energy alike.

The global energy system is entering a pivotal new phase. Rystad Energy’s latest scenario analysis shows that all net growth in global electricity supply in 2025 – around 1,070 terawatt-hours – will come from low-carbon sources , including renewables and nuclear power. This marks a structural shift: renewables are no longer competing at the margins but are now driving all incremental power generation. For investors, this signals that clean-power growth is moving from policy-driven to market-driven, reshaping long-term return potential across utilities, infrastructure and technology.

One of the most significant developments shaping power demand today is the rapid growth of data centers, particularly those supporting artificial intelligence (AI), cloud computing and large-scale computing workloads. According to Rystad Energy’s recent research, if all announced projects move forward, data center capacity will reach 145 gigawatts by 2030. This surge reflects not only the proliferation of new data-center capacity but also rising power intensity per facility as AI-optimized hardware and high-density server racks become more common.

At the same time, the outlook for oil and gas remains resilient but nuanced. Rystad Energy expects peak oil demand to arrive in the early 2030s, with different petroleum products following divergent paths: declines in fuel oil, but ongoing growth in jet fuel, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and naphtha. This reinforces that traditional energy still plays a meaningful role in the decade ahead, yet investors must be selective, targeting segments tied to structural demand rather than legacy products facing secular decline. This video from Rystad Energy’s annual summit features our CEO, Jarand Rystad, discussing these topics in more detail.

As we close out the year, we appreciate your continued engagement with Rystad Energy. This has been a defining period for both the global energy system and our company, and our mission remains clear: to provide independent, data-driven insights that enable smarter decisions amid rapidly evolving markets, technologies and policies. In this environment, the value of rigorous, unbiased analysis has never been greater. As geopolitics, supply chains, and transition pathways continue to shift, transparent scenario-based intelligence is becoming a true competitive advantage. For investors navigating the dual reality of accelerating low-carbon growth and continued fossil fuel resilience, high-quality data is not just helpful, it is essential.

Rystad’s Take: In conversation with our CEO

Our monthly Q&A series, November edition